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高盛重申：年末黄金价格将达到每盎司4900美元！_我的网站

一 |     　　周二（8月25日），高盛重申了其对黄金价格的预测，预计到2026年底金价将达到每盎司4900美元。这一预测主要受到看涨期权需求增加的推动，这些期权可能放大金价在关键行权价附近的波动。    New Delhi, Oct 13 (UNI) Congress leader Shashi Tharoor on Thursday said there were systematic flaws in the Congress presidential election process, even as he clarified he was not suggesting it was intentional.

The Thiruvananthapuram MP also indicated at differential treatment between him and Mallikarjun Kharge, who is being seen as the choice or the party leadership. Congress has maintained the party is not backing any candidate officially.

Addressing a press conference here, Tharoor said while he is not pointing fingers at Central Election Authority Chairman Madhusudan Mistry, there are flaws in the system.

"I am not saying anything against Mr. Mistry, there are some flaws in the systems which we all know. There have not been elections for 22 years..." said Tharoor.

He said there were discrepancies in the lists of voters provided.

"One list was given earlier, another list was given on Wednesday.... Some names were different in the lists, for some names, there was no phone number," he said.

"I am not saying it's being done intentionally. There have not been elections in our party for a long time. So there are issues. I know Mr. Mistry and his team are trying to hold free and fair elections. We are not complaining against them but there ar problems with the system," he said.

"That is why I used open mediums to take my message across. I am not sure I will be able to reach everyone before 17th."

He also pointed at differential treatment to candidates.

"Another issue is what some leaders did, that is why I said there is no level playing field. At a lot of places, big leaders, PCC chiefs welcome Kharge ji, call people for meetings. This happened for only one candidate, not for me," he said.

"Many times when I went to some PCC, the PCC chief became busy on the day...I am not complaining, but do you not see a difference in treatment?"

Election will be held on October 17, counting will be held on October 19 and results will be declared.

UNI AO BAV。
　　当日，全球最大的实物黄金ETF之一SPDR Gold Shares（GLD）上涨0.79%，交易价格为426.69美元。

二 | 　　市场普遍看涨情绪　　高盛将黄金价格预估为每盎司4900美元的举措反映出市场普遍看涨情绪，这主要得益于央行对实物黄金的大规模买入，以及西方私人投资者对黄金ETF投资可能大幅增加，尤其是在美联储稳定利率路径之后。　　近期，现货黄金价格一度突破4680美元，创下自五月中旬以来的最高水平，凸显了在宏观经济不确定性加剧背景下，黄金作为避险资产的需求不断上升。　　该行分析指出，衍生品市场正成为新的价格推升因素，投资者正越来越多地使用黄金看涨期权来对冲宏观经济风险。这种期权需求的上升可能导致金价出现更大幅度的上涨或下跌，尤其是在金价接近关键行权价位时。

三 | 　　当前市场情绪仍保持乐观，黄金ETF的大量流入进一步支撑了这一趋势，而未来经济数据以及美联储的表态可能对其产生更大影响。　　除了高盛外，其他投行也纷纷对黄金的未来走势做出了预测。　　瑞银大宗商品分析师Giovanni Staunovo指出，全球债务水平攀升，再加上美元持续走弱，是去年金价大涨的底层逻辑，而如今这些担忧再度卷土重来，“在我们看来，未来12个月，上述因素将推动黄金价格上涨至每盎司5400美元。”　　花旗策略师Dirk Willer将未来一年黄金看向每盎司5000至6000美元，核心依据是财政部干预、美债期限溢价失控风险、美元偏弱以及“去美元化”交易重启。花旗认为，随着收益率曲线长端得到控制，黄金仍有上涨空间，“投资者可能需要结束收益率曲线陡峭化交易，重新转向黄金，并卖出美元。”　　德意志银行给出的年末基准目标为4700美元—5100美元，依托央行购金与ETF回流两股非价格敏感需求，黄金ETF过去30天净流入约150万盎司、年内累计增加约400万盎司，而2026年第一季度央行购金金额达到388.8亿美元。　　摩根士丹利分析师Amy Gower发布是报告称，黄金价格已提前达到其第四季度目标价位，并可能在2027年攀升至5000美元以上，尽管这一过程可能会充满波动。该行表示，宏观经济状况的改善正在提振对黄金ETF的需求，因为美联储加息的预期逐渐消退，美元走弱，而央行的强劲购买和更强劲的实物需求也在支撑金价。（文章来源：财联社）。

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Published on:08:02:36